Euro 2024 Qualifying Play-Off Finals: Last Chance for Wales, Poland, Ukraine, Iceland, Georgia, Greece
The Euro 2024 lineup is almost complete with just three spots left to be decided in this week's play-off finals. After a dramatic semi-final stage, Wales, Poland, Ukraine, Iceland, Georgia and Greece have progressed and now have one last hurdle to clear to book their place at this summer's European Championship in Germany.
On Tuesday, these six nations will compete in three single-leg knockout ties, with the winners joining the 21 teams who have already qualified for the 24-team Euro 2024 tournament. Here is a preview of the crucial play-off final matchups:
Wales vs Poland Play-Off Final (20:45 CET, Cardiff)
Rob Page's Wales produced an impressive 4-1 win over Finland to reach this stage, hitting form at the perfect time. But can they end their winless run against Poland dating back to 1973? Poland cruised past Estonia 5-1, led by the goalscoring prowess of Barcelona's Robert Lewandowski.
The two sides are evenly matched according to data projections, with Poland narrow 39% favorites compared to 34.3% for home side Wales. Leveraging their passionate Cardiff support could be key for the hosts.
Ukraine vs Iceland Play-Off Final (20:45 CET, Wroclaw)
Two Euro underdogs face off in Wroclaw as Ukraine take on Iceland. Ukraine showed resilience to come from behind and beat Bosnia 2-1 thanks to supersub Roman Yaremchuk's equalizer and Artem Dovbyk's winner.
But Iceland were even more impressive in a 4-1 rout of Israel, with Albert Gudmundsson's hat-trick highlighting their attacking threat. However, the data gives Ukraine a commanding 66.3% chance of progression compared to just 15.8% for Iceland's Euro 2016 heroes.
Georgia vs Greece Play-Off Final (18:00 CET, Tbilisi)
In Tbilisi, home nation Georgia host Euro 2004 champions Greece aiming to cause an upset. Greece were convincing 5-0 winners over Kazakhstan as they eye a first major tournament since 2012.
Georgia edged past Luxembourg 2-0 and will rely on the returned Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to inspire an unlikely win over the Greeks, who have a 42.3% chance of progressing per projections compared to Georgia's 32.3%.
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While romantic narratives surround the underdogs, statistical modeling suggests Wales, Poland and Greece are most likely to complete the Euro 2024 lineup by qualifying this week.
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